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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?No | buy | 18.9 | $0.999 | $18.88 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 91.18 |
| $0.996 |
| $90.82 |
| Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 91.18 | $0.998 | $91 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 54.2 | $0.993 | $53.82 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 54.21 | $0.998 | $54.1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | sell | 102.42 | $0.993 | $101.7 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers leave the Jets?Yes | buy | 102.42 | $0.998 | $102.22 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 99.43 | $0.996 | $99.03 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 99.44 | $0.998 | $99.24 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 96.85 | $0.996 | $96.46 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 96.85 | $0.998 | $96.66 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 103.4 | $0.996 | $102.99 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| 50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.998 | $103.2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 27.9 | $0.994 | $27.73 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 75.41 | $0.995 | $75.03 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 103.31 | $0.997 | $103 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 75.41 | $0.995 | $75.03 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 75.42 | $0.997 | $75.19 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | sell | 107.34 | $0.998 | $107.13 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 107.35 | $0.999 | $107.24 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | sell | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.999 | $100.1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 91.96 | $0.995 | $91.5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 91.96 | $0.996 | $91.59 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 98.59 | $0.994 | $98 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 98.59 | $0.996 | $98.2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | sell | 102.82 | $0.994 | $102.2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?No | buy | 102.82 | $0.996 | $102.41 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.986 | $29 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.993 | $10.2 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.999 | $54 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.998 | $8.27 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 8 | $0.995 | $7.96 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 11?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump in jail before inauguration?No | buy | 19.18 | $0.998 | $19.14 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 30.21 | $0.993 | $30 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Trump in jail before inauguration?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 132.76 | $0.998 | $132.49 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.704 | $3.1 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.990 | $5.4 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.991 | $5.6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.988 | $5.3 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.993 | $9.8 | Dec 19, 2024 |