Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.955 |
| $9.55 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.19 | $0.761 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.08 | $0.750 | $6.81 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 368.84 | $0.610 | $224.99 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 368.84 | $0.760 | $280.32 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.779 | $38.95 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.17K | $0.136 | $295.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 527.7 | $0.379 | $200 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 263.85 | $0.379 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 921.05 | $0.380 | $350 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 396.83 | $0.378 | $150 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 60.07 | $0.416 | $24.99 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 249.67 | $0.961 | $239.93 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.750 | $842.25 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.920 | $69 | Jul 17, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 167 | $0.770 | $128.59 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.810 | $60.75 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 670.41 | $0.991 | $664.38 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 52.5 | $0.991 | $52.03 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | buy | 294.87 | $0.780 | $230 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.260 | $130 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Will Biden be on Ohio Presidential Ballot?Yes | sell | 162.38 | $0.700 | $113.67 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Abortion" during the debate?Yes | buy | 39.54 | $0.650 | $25.7 | Jun 23, 2024 |
| [Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 12.37 | $0.860 | $10.64 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.930 | $10.21 | Jun 23, 2024 |
 Trump and Biden debate before Election?Yes | buy | 386.28 | $0.950 | $366.97 | Jun 18, 2024 |
 Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | buy | 366.97 | $0.960 | $352.25 | Jun 15, 2024 |
 Trump fined over $1m?No | buy | 386.94 | $0.958 | $370.69 | Jun 1, 2024 |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jun 1, 2024 |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.910 | $455 | May 31, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 35.69 | $0.790 | $28.2 | May 30, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 32.89 | $0.830 | $27.3 | May 30, 2024 |
 Trump convicted of felony before Election?Yes | sell | 28.33 | $0.780 | $22.1 | May 30, 2024 |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.950 | $500 | May 30, 2024 |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.560 | $392 | May 29, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | May 29, 2024 |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.560 | $1.12K | May 29, 2024 |
| Trump and Biden debate before Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | May 28, 2024 |