Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 51.46 | $0.991 | $51.33 | +$0.33 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Mar 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.02 |
| $0.997 |
| $5 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 9 million and 11 million viewersNo | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Up Only podcast released by November 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 25.1K | $0.991 | $24.87K | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 25.1K | $0.995 | $24.97K | Oct 7, 2025 |
Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 51.46 | $0.991 | $51 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.985 | $7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin Volatility Index above 50 before August?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Brad Lander’s vote share be less than 6% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?Down | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 31, 2025 |
Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.935 | $6 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.967 | $7 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Sue Bird make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes | buy | 9.05 | $0.995 | $9 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 6.42 | $0.934 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris get 74-76m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 15, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 1, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 1, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 1, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.990 | $8 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?Texas | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Nov 29, 2024 |