Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 54 | $0.950 | $52.92 | +$1.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 22.41 | $0.130 | $2.91 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 27 |
| $0.961 |
| $25.97 |
| +$0.03 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 24.15 | $0.919 | $23.76 | +$1.57 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 24 | $0.955 | $23.51 | +$0.59 |
 USDC depeg by December 31? | No | 22 | $0.950 | $21.75 | +$0.85 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.951 | $14.78 | +$0.52 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 13 | $0.850 | $12.12 | +$1.07 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 12 | $0.934 | $11.66 | +$0.45 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 12.24 | $0.183 | $10.13 | +$7.89 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? | Yes | 20 | $0.260 | $4.3 | -$0.9 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 22.41 | $0.130 | $1.68 | -$1.23 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.115 | $1.45 | -$4.3 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | 15 | $0.080 | $0.32 | -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.950 | $51.3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 321.84 | $0.004 | $1.29 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?No | buy | 24 | $0.999 | $23.98 | May 23, 2026 |
 Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenUsyk | buy | 14.91 | $0.930 | $13.87 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.934 | $11.21 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 34.89 | $0.993 | $34.65 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | buy | 26.86 | $0.998 | $26.81 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.940 | $0.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No | sell | 39.98 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.023 | $2.65 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 21 | $0.800 | $16.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 195.02 | $0.158 | $30.76 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.968 | $24.2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 282.28 | $0.012 | $3.39 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.995 | $21.89 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 24.15 | $0.919 | $22.19 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 34.28 | $0.380 | $13.03 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.78 | $0.115 | $3.54 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 24 | $0.955 | $22.92 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 28.34 | $0.130 | $3.68 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 65.87 | $0.994 | $65.47 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 29 | $0.999 | $28.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 15 | $0.991 | $14.87 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.996 | $24.9 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.850 | $11.05 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.961 | $25.95 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.830 | $15.18 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.140 | $147 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.994 | $29.81 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?No | sell | 33 | $0.983 | $32.43 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?No | sell | 42 | $0.996 | $41.83 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.995 | $21.34 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 160.05 | $0.007 | $1.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 6.77 | $0.996 | $6.74 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 28.98 | $0.990 | $28.69 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 70 | $0.993 | $69.51 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 18 | $0.989 | $17.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.984 | $68.88 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?No | buy | 42 | $0.994 | $41.75 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?No | buy | 33 | $0.930 | $30.69 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.983 | $29.49 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.994 | $13.92 | Oct 22, 2025 |