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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Sep 22, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.120 |
| $12 |
| Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| sell | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Anthropic IPO in 2025?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.040 | $4.8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.14 | $0.200 | $2.03 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| buy | 25 | $0.020 | $0.5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Anthropic IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| sell | 9.7 | $0.060 | $0.58 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?Yes | sell | 69.82 | $0.220 | $15.36 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 100 | $0.232 | $23.2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.05 | $0.140 | $6.59 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $6.98 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 95 | $0.247 | $23.47 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.224 | $11.2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| sell | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | sell | 106.78 | $0.040 | $4.27 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.050 | $0.34 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.13 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | sell | 99.91 | $0.362 | $36.17 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 100 | $0.224 | $22.44 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 2.79 | $0.270 | $0.75 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?Yes | sell | 32.33 | $0.080 | $2.59 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.204 | $20.42 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.203 | $20.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.350 | $27.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 100.01 | $0.208 | $20.8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.053 | $5.3 | Sep 22, 2025 |
D4vd arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 16.72 | $0.402 | $6.72 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.305 | $30.5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.354 | $35.39 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Sep 21, 2025 |