Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 2 | $0.990 | $2 | +$0.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | 5h ago |
| Yes |
| 2 |
| $0.981 |
| $1.99 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.983 | $1.98 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 2 | $0.982 | $1.98 | +$0.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2 | $0.984 | $1.97 | -$0 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 3 | $0.420 | $1.97 | +$0.71 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | No | 2 | $0.977 | $1.95 | -$0 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.953 | $1.95 | +$0.05 |
 Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 2 | $0.990 | $1.95 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2 | $0.978 | $1.95 | -$0.01 |
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 2 | $0.966 | $1.95 | +$0.02 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.969 | $1.95 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 2 | $0.916 | $1.94 | +$0.11 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | No | 2 | $0.959 | $1.92 | +$0.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2 | $0.933 | $1.92 | +$0.06 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 2 | $0.956 | $1.92 | +$0.01 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.950 | $1.92 | +$0.02 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.910 | $1.91 | +$0.09 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.890 | $1.91 | +$0.13 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2 | $0.930 | $1.9 | +$0.04 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.610 | $1.89 | +$0.67 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.860 | $1.89 | +$0.17 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.927 | $1.89 | +$0.04 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.929 | $1.88 | +$0.02 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.780 | $1.88 | +$0.32 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?No| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.977 |
| $1.95 |
| 5h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?No | buy | 2 | $0.959 | $1.92 | 5h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | buy | 2 | $0.710 | $1.42 | 5h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 2 | $0.620 | $1.24 | 5h ago |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.810 | $1.62 | 5h ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.978 | $1.96 | 5h ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 2 | $0.997 | $1.99 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2 | $0.984 | $1.97 | 6d ago |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2 | $0.780 | $1.56 | 6d ago |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | 6d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.790 | $1.58 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 2 | $0.950 | $1.9 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 2 | $0.956 | $1.91 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 2 | $0.745 | $1.49 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 2 | $0.966 | $1.93 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | 6d ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 2 | $0.982 | $1.96 | 6d ago |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.981 | $1.96 | 6d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.989 | $1.98 | 6d ago |
 Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?No | sell | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.987 | $0.99 | 8d ago |
 Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.600 | $1.2 | 9d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | 9d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3 | $0.450 | $1.35 | 9d ago |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.450 | $1.35 | 9d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | 9d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | 9d ago |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.580 | $1.16 | 9d ago |
| Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?No | buy | 2 | $0.683 | $1.37 | 9d ago |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | 9d ago |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.740 | $1.48 | 9d ago |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.480 | $1.44 | 9d ago |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.650 | $1.3 | 9d ago |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | 9d ago |
| Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?No | buy | 2 | $0.700 | $1.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.381 | $1.14 | 9d ago |
| Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?No | buy | 2 | $0.809 | $1.62 | 9d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.916 | $1.83 | 9d ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | 10d ago |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.680 | $1.36 | 10d ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.690 | $1.38 | 10d ago |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.480 | $1.44 | 10d ago |
 Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.036 | $0.27 | 10d ago |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 10d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.960 | $1.92 | 10d ago |