Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.12 | $0.140 | $1.84 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.33K |
| $0.140 |
| $185.54 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 394.77 | $0.475 | $187.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 114.98 | $0.290 | $33.34 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 259.44 | $0.290 | $75.24 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 191.28 | $0.455 | $87.03 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.580 | $104.4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 95.36 | $0.420 | $40.05 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?Down | buy | 435.33 | $0.433 | $188.63 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 889.99 | $0.281 | $250.44 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 574.77 | $0.580 | $333.37 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 264.41 | $0.199 | $52.62 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 24.9 | $0.007 | $0.17 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 24.9 | $0.200 | $4.98 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.170 | $119 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 492.91 | $0.450 | $221.81 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.460 | $557.52 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 273.55 | $0.450 | $123.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 5K | $0.010 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 4K | $0.050 | $199.41 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 5K | $0.050 | $248.54 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | sell | 350 | $0.251 | $88 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 3K | $0.339 | $1.02K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 468.42 | $0.340 | $159.08 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 3K | $0.350 | $1.05K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 1.15K | $0.517 | $596.37 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 222 | $0.983 | $218.23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 468 | $0.952 | $445.54 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Blue Jays vs. DodgersBlue Jays | buy | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 2K | $0.710 | $1.42K | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.036 | $1.08 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Apr 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 29.5K | $0.005 | $147.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 26.34K | $0.005 | $131.68 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5K | $0.300 | $1.5K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.316 | $1.58K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 500 | $0.309 | $154.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5K | $0.439 | $2.2K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4K | $0.334 | $1.34K | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.578 | $2.89K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.579 | $1.16K | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 4K | $0.624 | $2.5K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5K | $0.361 | $1.81K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5K | $0.386 | $1.93K | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 4.66K | $0.641 | $2.98K | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Iran military response before October?Yes | buy | 4.9K | $0.390 | $1.91K | Aug 25, 2024 |