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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.47 | $0.949 | $0.46 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.070 | $3.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 44 |
| $0.480 |
| $21.12 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.180 | $14.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.170 | $11.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.150 | $2.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.830 | $38.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.320 | $26.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.937 | $37.48 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 80 | $0.420 | $33.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.939 | $39.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.936 | $18.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.936 | $18.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.017 | $0.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.946 | $35.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.810 | $39.69 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.810 | $39.69 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.880 | $36.08 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.890 | $36.49 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.968 | $36.78 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.710 | $36.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.960 | $37.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.964 | $40.49 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 12.53 | $0.953 | $11.94 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 30 | $0.953 | $28.59 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.949 | $40.81 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.969 | $37.79 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.012 | $0.62 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.962 | $41.37 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.130 | $5.85 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.972 | $40.82 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.980 | $0.98 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.958 | $11.5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.972 | $1.6 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.915 | $1.96 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.962 | $11.54 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.045 | $2.48 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.309 | $9.89 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.045 | $0.95 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.983 | $10.81 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 11 | $0.984 | $10.82 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12 | $0.928 | $11.14 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.026 | $0.55 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.019 | $1.08 | May 15, 2025 |