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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.12K | $0.910 | $1.99K | +$53.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 12d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.56K |
| $0.585 |
| $1.34K |
| -$153.92 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 314.7 | $0.953 | $311.71 | +$11.71 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 480.77 | $0.624 | $239.18 | -$60.82 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.840 | $41.19 | +$1.19 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 19.59 | $0.970 | $19.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| buy |
| 37.7 |
| $0.610 |
| $23 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.012 | $23.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.610 | $1K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.460 | $8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 514 | $0.002 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.002 | $3.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.73K | $0.002 | $3.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.460 | $6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 315.79 | $0.570 | $180 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 314.7 | $0.953 | $300 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 252.75 | $0.910 | $230 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 480.77 | $0.624 | $300 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 606.56 | $0.082 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 108.83 | $0.184 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 988.02 | $0.916 | $905.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 565.79 | $0.520 | $294.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 514 | $0.095 | $49 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 545.69 | $0.788 | $430 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 218.68 | $0.910 | $199 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.058 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.050 | $98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 505.4 | $0.594 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.910 | $1.5K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.148 | $200 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No | buy | 189.36 | $0.470 | $89 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.85K | $0.944 | $2.69K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.59 | $0.970 | $19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.892 | $980 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No | buy | 312.4 | $0.954 | $298 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 455.26 | $0.760 | $346 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 113.19 | $0.910 | $103 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.123 | $0.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.060 | $94.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 219.92 | $0.909 | $200 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 98.81 | $0.121 | $11.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.61K | $0.122 | $196.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.834 | $1.09K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.752 | $1.29K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.997 | $1.29K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.848 | $1.1K | Jun 12, 2026 |