Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.980 | $1.46 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.61 |
| $0.690 |
| $1.11 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 1.61 | $0.880 | $1.42 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.953 | $1.26 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.830 | $1.26 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.969 | $1.28 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.940 | $1.07 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.935 | $0.27 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.750 | $1.2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?No | sell | 0.8 | $0.988 | $0.79 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.910 | $1.4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Keri Russell win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.983 | $1.24 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.926 | $0.14 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.78 | $0.945 | $0.74 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.948 | $1.16 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.910 | $0.3 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.940 | $1.08 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.910 | $0.17 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.910 | $0.89 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.920 | $1.23 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 0.61 | $0.910 | $0.56 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Diddy released by July 4?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.996 | $1.4 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.940 | $0.35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.973 | $1.09 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.900 | $1.06 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?No | sell | 0.4 | $0.971 | $0.39 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.980 | $1.46 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?No | sell | 0.47 | $0.944 | $0.44 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.955 | $1.44 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 20?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.110 | $0.14 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 20?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.930 | $1.22 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.990 | $1.08 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.981 | $1.3 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.910 | $1.37 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.890 | $0.24 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.976 | $1.1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 0.64 | $0.910 | $0.58 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.930 | $2.78 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 0.75 | $0.994 | $0.75 | May 31, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.986 | $1.37 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.993 | $0.71 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.995 | $1.46 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.954 | $1.08 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 64-65°F on April 14?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.910 | $1.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.900 | $1.27 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.710 | $1.16 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.920 | $1.06 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.889 | $1.3 | Apr 10, 2025 |