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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 13.51 | $0.665 | $12.63 | +$3.64 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.74 |
| $0.830 |
| $10.33 |
| +$1.41 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.820 | $10.22 | +$1.3 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 12.1 | $0.737 | $9.66 | +$0.74 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.19 | $0.620 | $6.04 | -$1.52 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6 | $0.790 | $5.61 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.430 | $3.96 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.93 | $0.410 | $2.73 | -$0.52 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.490 | $1.7 | +$0.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.470 | $1.65 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.240 | $1.39 | -$0.41 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 14.61 | $0.610 | $1.31 | -$7.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.190 | $1.02 | -$0.31 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.84 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 6.5 |
| $0.260 |
| $1.69 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.765 | $6.93 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.300 | $2.94 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.666 | $4.69 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.240 | $1.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.410 | $3.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.05 | $0.984 | $8.91 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.620 | $7.56 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.190 | $1.33 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 12.59 | $0.640 | $8.06 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.737 | $8.92 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 18.61 | $0.479 | $8.91 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.680 | $8.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.21 | $0.550 | $8.92 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.870 | $8.92 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 16.21 | $0.552 | $8.94 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.61 | $0.610 | $8.91 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.870 | $8.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 14.38 | $0.620 | $8.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.770 | $8.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 27.85 | $0.320 | $8.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.830 | $8.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 28.75 | $0.310 | $8.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 14.38 | $0.620 | $8.92 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 14.86 | $0.600 | $8.92 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.820 | $8.91 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.666 | $8.99 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.680 | $8.91 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 11.73 | $0.760 | $8.91 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 12.42 | $0.718 | $8.92 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.690 | $8.91 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.983 | $8.95 | Feb 15, 2026 |