Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 493.33 | $0.005 | $2.67 | Dec 30, 2025 |
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botfather is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,654,208 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$117.67 observed lifetime PnL, 69 distinct markets, 38 resolved positions, a 26.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x18726fa2dfcc18317cb64114d1a96b3dd296edf8
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 503 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.5 |
| Dec 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 9AM ETUp | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown | sell | 2.56 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 8AM ETUp | sell | 14.28 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 8AM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 7AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 6AM ETDown | buy | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 5AM ETUp | buy | 15.36 | $0.065 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5.51 | $0.182 | $1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 1PM ETDown | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 19?No | sell | 26 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 19?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 19?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 18?No | sell | 9.96 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 18?No | sell | 49.09 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 18?Yes | sell | 55.97 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 17?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.001 | $1.25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 17?No | sell | 25 | $0.030 | $0.75 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 17?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 7AM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 17?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.005 | $0.62 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 7PM ETDown | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 17?No | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 17?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 16?No | sell | 10.16 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on December 16?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.012 | $0.36 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 16?Yes | sell | 15.12 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 16?Yes | sell | 250.99 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 16?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.357 | $3.63 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 16?Yes | buy | 32.83 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 15?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 15?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 15?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.740 | $6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 14?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 12?Yes | sell | 145.78 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 12?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 12?Yes | buy | 145.78 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.