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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 54.17 | $0.480 | $15.98 | -$10.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 54.17 | $0.480 | $26 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 25.51 |
| $0.980 |
| $25 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 5.88 | $0.830 | $4.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 8.65 | $0.540 | $4.67 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 14.03 | $0.680 | $9.54 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | sell | 9.45 | $0.300 | $2.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETUp | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 5.13 | $0.970 | $4.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 23.56 | $0.040 | $0.94 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 22.12 | $0.200 | $4.42 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | sell | 11.67 | $0.530 | $6.19 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 11.16 | $0.410 | $4.58 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.66 | $0.340 | $0.9 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 25.48 | $0.173 | $4.4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | sell | 8.09 | $0.830 | $6.71 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 7.85 | $0.600 | $4.71 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 65.7 | $0.080 | $5.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | buy | 65.71 | $0.240 | $15.77 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 18.76 | $0.840 | $15.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 18.77 | $0.730 | $13.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.011 | $13.72 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ETDown | buy | 25.38 | $0.600 | $15.23 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ETDown | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.200 | $70 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 370.59 | $0.170 | $63 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 115.38 | $0.016 | $1.85 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 552.23 | $0.360 | $198.8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 113.63 | $0.230 | $26.13 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ETUp | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ETDown | sell | 7.23 | $0.360 | $2.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ETUp | sell | 69.91 | $0.999 | $69.84 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ETDown | buy | 7.24 | $0.550 | $3.98 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.036 | $3.98 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ETUp | buy | 69.92 | $0.990 | $69.22 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.350 | $75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.220 | $25 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 109.38 | $0.320 | $35 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11)Yes | buy | 30.13 | $0.664 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.532 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |