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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 3.28 | $0.907 | $3.21 | +$0.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.998 | $1.91 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.16 |
| +$0.16 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 1.92 |
| $0.950 |
| $1.82 |
| 2d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Delphine Benouaich | sell | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | 3d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Klaudia Sygula | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Sofia Montenegro vs. Delphine Benouaich (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)Delphine Benouaich | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 4d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)Kurtis Campbell | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.999 | $1.85 | 21d ago |
 Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | 21d ago |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.960 | $1.78 | 21d ago |
| Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.960 | $1.82 | 21d ago |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.999 | $1.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.950 | $1.78 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.960 | $1.82 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.399 | $0.77 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.459 | $0.88 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.950 | $1.82 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.960 | $1.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)Abdul Hussein | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Muhammad Said | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.998 | $1.89 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.950 | $1.79 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.950 | $1.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.998 | $1.08 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.999 | $3.44 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.999 | $1.01 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.998 | $1.05 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.999 | $0.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.999 | $1.55 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.950 | $1.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.999 | $16.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.960 | $1.15 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.999 | $1.21 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.960 | $1.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.950 | $1.15 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.960 | $1.15 | May 19, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.950 | $1.18 | May 15, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |