Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 6.02 |
| $0.996 |
| $6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $7.5B?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.799 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.780 | $1.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 27?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.998 | $6.14 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 28?No | sell | 4 | $0.993 | $3.97 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 27?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.999 | $7.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 6.93 | $0.995 | $6.9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.999 | $3.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.979 | $1.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.998 | $2.26 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.999 | $3.38 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.996 | $3.39 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.997 | $4.48 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.996 | $5.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 28?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.998 | $6.12 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.998 | $7.13 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.999 | $8.18 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.995 | $5.17 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $415,000 on April 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.996 | $6.22 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.993 | $1.59 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.999 | $2.72 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.997 | $2.72 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.999 | $3.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.999 | $3.02 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.995 | $4.02 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.996 | $5.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.997 | $5.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 6.14 | $0.999 | $6.13 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 3?No | sell | 3.06 | $0.998 | $3.05 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.995 | $3.08 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 3?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.999 | $4.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.995 | $4.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.13 | $0.996 | $4.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.995 | $4.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.997 | $8.24 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4 | $0.998 | $3.99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.995 | $1.07 | Mar 3, 2026 |