Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 26.91 | $0.780 | $21.79 | +$0.79 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | 20h ago |
| No |
| 19.23 |
| $0.780 |
| $18.51 |
| +$3.51 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 23.63 | $0.339 | $11.74 | +$3.74 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 10.95 | $0.913 | $10.67 | +$0.67 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10.3 | +$0.3 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.71 | $0.660 | $8.06 | +$2.31 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.25 | $0.690 | $7.16 | +$2.16 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 8.06 | $0.620 | $6.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $4.09 | -$0.91 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.384 | $3.99 | +$0.99 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | Yes | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3.32 | +$0.32 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.690 | $2.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.85 | $0.540 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 3.85 |
| $0.780 |
| $3 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 20h ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 6d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.405 | $3 | 6d ago |
 Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 13d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | 16d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | 16d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.911 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.582 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.605 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 14.69 | $0.020 | $0.29 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 25.77 | $0.015 | $0.39 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.280 | $0.78 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | buy | 16.22 | $0.185 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | buy | 11.86 | $0.253 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.01 | $0.357 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.392 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 15.46 | $0.340 | $5.26 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.194 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.036 | $0.46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.730 | $2.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.800 | $3 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.6 | $0.521 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.792 | $4.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.226 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.46 | $0.194 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.384 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.98 | $0.890 | $7.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.660 | $5.75 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.900 | $5.77 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.940 | $7.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |