Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 210.89 | $0.111 | $167.65 | +$144.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 99.29 |
| $0.876 |
| $92.34 |
| +$5.4 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 43.79 | $0.625 | $34.38 | +$7 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 40.24 | $0.658 | $28.37 | +$1.9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 17.92 | $0.790 | $16.58 | +$2.42 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 19.02 | $0.440 | $15.21 | +$6.84 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 16.88 | $0.490 | $14.6 | +$6.33 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 14.59 | $0.832 | $10.87 | -$1.26 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.49 | $0.912 | $8.97 | +$0.31 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 9.52 | $0.878 | $8.64 | +$0.28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 32.78 | $0.821 | $6.72 | -$20.18 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.17 | $0.820 | $5.4 | +$0.34 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 15.86 | $0.504 | $1.98 | -$6.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.05 | $0.800 | $1.73 | +$0.09 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.19 | -$0.01 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.768 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.9 | $0.145 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 1.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $1 |
| 15d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.980 | $1.91 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.980 | $1.89 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.981 | $5.46 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.880 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.830 | $1.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.930 | $1.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 The Polymarket Classic: WinnerJohn/Paige | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.950 | $6.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.459 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.461 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.694 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.743 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.701 | $1.48 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.644 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 3.97 | $0.880 | $3.49 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.870 | $1.34 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.830 | $3.27 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.653 | $1.33 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.910 | $1.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |