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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 113.7 | $0.170 | $2.44 | -$16.88 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 686.95 | $0.002 | $1.37 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.7 |
| $0.068 |
| $1 |
| Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 130.21 | $0.190 | $24.74 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 265.2 | $0.965 | $255.96 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 6.23K | $0.002 | $12.46 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 10K | $0.992 | $9.92K | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 64.59K | $0.982 | $63.43K | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 20.39 | $0.005 | $0.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 38.91 | $0.980 | $38.13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5.87K | $0.200 | $1.17K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.87K | $0.210 | $1.23K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 1.61K | $0.790 | $1.27K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.47K | $0.979 | $5.36K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 58.42K | $0.001 | $58.42 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.001 | $2.62 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 7.9K | $0.002 | $15.79 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 28.53K | $0.002 | $57.06 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 592.27K | $0.001 | $592.27 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 15.31K | $0.830 | $12.71K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 5.23K | $0.830 | $4.34K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 6.2K | $0.051 | $316.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | buy | 4.71K | $0.030 | $141.38 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 486.59 | $0.080 | $38.93 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 8.22K | $0.760 | $6.25K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.89K | $0.976 | $5.75K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 16.57K | $0.940 | $15.57K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.010 | $17.88 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 10.09K | $0.050 | $504.29 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10.59K | $0.031 | $331.32 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 629.81 | $0.059 | $37.16 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.860 | $2.17K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 31.82K | $0.029 | $930.06 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4.43K | $0.002 | $8.85 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 6.16K | $0.070 | $432.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.15K | $0.800 | $4.12K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 920.05 | $0.800 | $736.04 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 279.43 | $0.975 | $272.44 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.58K | $0.140 | $501.17 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 211.71 | $0.099 | $20.96 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 19.42K | $0.085 | $1.65K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.84K | $0.867 | $4.2K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.850 | $1.75K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 663.87 | $0.970 | $643.78 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.7K | $0.985 | $6.6K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 14.71K | $0.984 | $14.47K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.069 | $1.37K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 30K | $0.037 | $1.11K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 775.48 | $0.980 | $759.72 | Jan 30, 2026 |