Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 192.48 | $0.687 | $126.07 | -$6.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 22.49 | $0.650 | $14.62 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 223.72 |
| $0.447 |
| $90.6 |
| -$9.4 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.460 | $15.87 | -$4.13 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $12 | +$1 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.140 | $7.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026? | No | 15.78 | $0.127 | $3.79 | +$1.79 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 33.15 | $0.104 | $2.98 | -$0.47 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | No | 10.53 | $0.190 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 2 | $0.500 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | Yes | 5.95 | $0.168 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.138 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7.38 | $0.271 | $0.08 | -$1.92 |
| sell |
| 37.68 |
| $0.390 |
| $14.7 |
| 1h ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | 13h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 25.17 | $0.230 | $5.79 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.770 | $5.92 | 13h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 96.59 | $0.700 | $67.61 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?No | buy | 15.78 | $0.127 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 59.7 | $0.670 | $40 | 2d ago |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 223.72 | $0.447 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | 4d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | sell | 512.52 | $0.032 | $16.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.038 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.168 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?No | buy | 25.25 | $0.198 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | sell | 150.92 | $0.920 | $138.85 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.916 | $123.61 | 6d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 157.1 | $0.064 | $10.03 | 20d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | sell | 23.11 | $0.459 | $10.6 | 20d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 178.16 | $0.074 | $13.2 | 21d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 90.43 | $0.166 | $15 | 21d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.210 | $3.39 | 21d ago |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.110 | $0.92 | 21d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 147.05 | $0.170 | $25 | 21d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 23.12 | $0.420 | $9.71 | 21d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.060 | $2.5 | 21d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.74 | $0.309 | $7.34 | 21d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 150.92 | $0.660 | $99.61 | 23d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsBASEMENT BOYS | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.17 | $0.131 | $5 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.570 | $3.56 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.81 | $0.840 | $4.04 | 24d ago |