Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | No | 21.74 | $0.230 | $18.75 | +$13.75 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 10.96 | $0.730 | $8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.27 |
| $0.070 |
| $7.24 |
| +$6.1 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.8 | +$0.8 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.69 | +$0.69 |
| sell |
| 5.31 |
| $0.930 |
| $4.94 |
| Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.955 | $4.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.965 | $4.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.930 | $5.05 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 16.27 | $0.070 | $1.14 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.955 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 9.16 | $0.994 | $9.11 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 10.37 | $0.992 | $10.29 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.66 | $0.984 | $11.47 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.982 | $9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | buy | 9.24 | $0.974 | $9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.26 | $0.977 | $11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.959 | $11.62 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.952 | $11.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.857 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.924 | $12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.996 | $0.98 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.888 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No | sell | 10.99 | $0.993 | $10.91 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 20.22 | $0.993 | $20.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.26 | $0.983 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | sell | 8.29 | $0.995 | $8.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.11 | $0.997 | $10.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 8.29 | $0.965 | $8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?Yes | buy | 15.17 | $0.989 | $15 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.951 | $6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | May 31, 2026 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | sell | 20.1 | $0.996 | $20.02 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 99.86 | $0.021 | $2.1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 13.19 | $0.297 | $3.92 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.140 | $6.51 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 15.4 | $0.938 | $14.45 | May 30, 2026 |
| Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | May 30, 2026 |