Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.58 | $0.559 | $7.26 | -$0.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.150 | $0.5 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 9.46 |
| $0.590 |
| $6.95 |
| +$1.37 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 12.78 | $0.497 | $6.84 | +$0.49 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.59 | $0.690 | $6.4 | +$0.47 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election? | Yes | 9.58 | $0.620 | $5.84 | -$0.1 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 7.45 | $0.743 | $5.84 | +$0.31 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.84 | $0.535 | $5.82 | +$0.02 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 9.8 | $0.560 | $5.78 | +$0.29 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 14.24 | $0.420 | $5.77 | -$0.21 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.04 | $0.460 | $5.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 18.58 | $0.310 | $5.3 | -$0.46 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 9.61 | $0.600 | $5.24 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 7.48 | $0.730 | $5.2 | -$0.26 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election? | Yes | 7.19 | $0.750 | $4.71 | -$0.68 |
 Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 14.3 | $0.400 | $4.65 | -$1.07 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.47 | $0.380 | $3.48 | -$2.4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.24 | $0.290 | $3.33 | +$0.36 |
 Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 2.14 | $0.880 | $2.09 | +$0.21 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 2.07 | $0.956 | $2.04 | +$0.06 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2.13 | $0.890 | $2.04 | +$0.14 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 2.11 | $0.873 | $2.04 | +$0.2 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30? | No | 2.04 | $0.970 | $2.04 | +$0.06 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 2.15 | $0.857 | $2.02 | +$0.18 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2.06 | $0.959 | $2.01 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 10.84 |
| $0.535 |
| $5.8 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.18 | $0.840 | $3.51 | 5h ago |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 14.24 | $0.420 | $5.98 | 7h ago |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.184 | $1.84 | 10h ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No | buy | 14.3 | $0.400 | $5.72 | 15h ago |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.376 | $5.8 | 17h ago |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.46 | $0.590 | $5.58 | 18h ago |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.560 | $5.49 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.710 | $6.39 | 1d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.743 | $5.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?Yes | buy | 9.28 | $0.640 | $5.94 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.620 | $5.94 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.750 | $5.39 | 2d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.086 | $1.48 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.28 | $0.860 | $1.96 | 4d ago |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | 4d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.973 | $2.04 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.47 | $0.380 | $5.88 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.730 | $5.46 | 5d ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 2 | $0.990 | $1.98 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.996 | $2.04 | 5d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.460 | $6 | 6d ago |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | 7d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.440 | $5.24 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.600 | $5.76 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.74 | $0.610 | $5.94 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.570 | $6.84 | 9d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.530 | $5.7 | 10d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.020 | $0.14 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6 | 11d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 8.94 | $0.440 | $3.93 | 11d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 14 | $0.460 | $6.44 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.480 | $7.68 | 12d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.450 | $7.2 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10.24 | $0.480 | $4.92 | 12d ago |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 11 | $0.610 | $6.71 | 13d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.355 | $0.37 | 13d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.760 | $5.6 | 15d ago |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.17 | $0.470 | $5.72 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 15.11 | $0.380 | $5.74 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.5 | $0.320 | $5.92 | 16d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 18.02 | $0.320 | $5.76 | 16d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.58 | $0.690 | $5.92 | 17d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.390 | $0.85 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.670 | $5.76 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 18.58 | $0.310 | $5.76 | 18d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.84 | $0.150 | $1.48 | 19d ago |