Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.68 |
| $0.890 |
| $5.06 |
| Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanChina | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes | buy | 15.04 | $0.133 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.33 | $0.094 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.025 | $2 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 110.7 | $0.940 | $104.06 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.071 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.170 | $0.45 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 65.07 | $0.053 | $3.45 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 85.06 | $0.840 | $71.45 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | sell | 4.08 | $0.998 | $4.07 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 97.18 | $0.103 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.011 | $7.33 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 17.46 | $0.286 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
 Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanPSG | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | May 1, 2025 |
 Du Plessis vs. StricklandStrickland | buy | 33.76 | $0.059 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Du Plessis vs. StricklandStrickland | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Weili vs. SuarezWeili | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Weili vs. SuarezWeili | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.120 | $1.71 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.038 | $3.45 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.410 | $6.03 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | sell | 34.71 | $0.254 | $8.81 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.230 | $1.07 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 21.61 | $0.118 | $2.55 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?Yes | sell | 116.15 | $0.022 | $2.56 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Nov 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Nov 17, 2024 |