Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 25.54K | $0.992 | $25.46K | +$115.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.400 |
| $489 |
| +$249 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.250 | $310 | -$190 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 152 | $0.994 | $150.78 | -$0.3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 99.99 | $0.410 | $52.49 | +$11.5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 71.02 | $0.160 | $10.3 | -$1.07 |
| buy |
| 71.02 |
| $0.160 |
| $11.36 |
| 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.998 | $1.98K | 25d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 35.09 | $0.998 | $35.02 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 3.74K | $0.998 | $3.73K | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.984 | $34.53 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 32.88 | $0.978 | $32.16 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 22.48 | $0.977 | $21.96 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 10.75K | $0.977 | $10.5K | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.520 | $744.68 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.45K | $0.910 | $4.96K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 6.73K | $0.050 | $336.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 909.2 | $0.510 | $463.69 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 131.34 | $0.830 | $109.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.52K | $0.830 | $2.92K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.170 | $340 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.870 | $609 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.951 | $4.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.999 | $2.22K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 4.34K | $0.998 | $4.33K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 12 | $0.905 | $10.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 2K | $0.620 | $1.24K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 2K | $0.723 | $1.45K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 1K | $0.588 | $587.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| France vs. England: Team to WinEngland | buy | 2K | $0.918 | $1.84K | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 8.89K | $0.999 | $8.88K | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 8.89K | $0.999 | $8.88K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 309 | $0.999 | $308.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.992 | $118.05 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16K | $0.992 | $15.87K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 785.46 | $0.940 | $738.33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 127.14 | $0.991 | $126 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 7.69K | $0.996 | $7.66K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15K | $0.974 | $7.94K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance today?Yes | sell | 9.49K | $0.999 | $9.48K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.48K | $0.998 | $9.46K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 34.56 | $0.981 | $33.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 623.27 | $0.983 | $612.67 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.96 | $0.964 | $20.21 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 206 | $0.980 | $201.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 866 | $0.986 | $853.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.985 | $1.38K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.984 | $1.09K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.820 | $1.03K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.984 | $1.44K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.981 | $1K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.983 | $29.49 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |