Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 971.91 | $0.160 | $155.51 | 19d ago |
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| buy |
| 346.67 |
| $0.217 |
| $75.33 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.85K | $0.002 | $17.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.58K | $0.005 | $37.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.27K | $0.061 | $139.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.9K | $0.005 | $19.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 273.06 | $0.080 | $21.84 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.004 | $9.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 302.71 | $0.022 | $6.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.65K | $0.145 | $529.25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 273.07 | $0.150 | $40.96 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.067 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 395 | $0.080 | $31.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 854.24 | $0.117 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.9K | $0.021 | $161.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.160 | $160.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 794.16 | $0.102 | $81 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.070 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 9.18K | $0.001 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.038 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.038 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.260 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.64K | $0.038 | $100 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 182.48 | $0.274 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 192.27 | $0.416 | $80 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes | buy | 124.76 | $0.160 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Yes | buy | 272.73 | $0.110 | $30 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 436.08 | $0.229 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 395 | $0.223 | $87.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 296.34 | $0.169 | $50 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 29 2026?Yes | buy | 269.66 | $0.074 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 557.78 | $0.179 | $100 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?No | buy | 335.83 | $0.060 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.009 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.068 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?No | buy | 363.64 | $0.055 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?Yes | buy | 514.41 | $0.039 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?No | buy | 37.45 | $0.267 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?Yes | buy | 759.87 | $0.013 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?No | buy | 50.36 | $0.397 | $20 | Jun 28, 2026 |