Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.35K | $0.370 | $452.25 | -$47.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | 6h ago |
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| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| $0.004 |
| $8.75 |
| -$1.25 |
| buy |
| 1.35K |
| $0.370 |
| $499.5 |
| 6h ago |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 228.71 | $0.080 | $18.26 | 7d ago |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.152 | $38.07 | 7d ago |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 69.42 | $0.110 | $7.64 | 7d ago |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.929 | $92.9 | 7d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.84K | $0.263 | $482.35 | 8d ago |
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.578 | $95.95 | 17d ago |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 19d ago |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 26.93 | $0.335 | $9.02 | 19d ago |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.739 | $36.95 | 20d ago |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.730 | $58.4 | 20d ago |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 243 | $0.710 | $172.53 | 21d ago |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 243 | $0.700 | $170.1 | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.926 | $138.9 | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.022 | $3.33 | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.017 | $5.21 | 21d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 275 | $0.870 | $239.25 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 860 | $0.860 | $739.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.740 | $92.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 163.91 | $0.153 | $25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 34.08 | $0.147 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.116 | $1.74 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.720 | $108 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 410 | $0.244 | $100.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.670 | $93.79 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.850 | $195.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.245 | $48.91 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.242 | $99.22 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 267.42 | $0.707 | $189.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | buy | 405.79 | $0.059 | $23.87 | Jul 18, 2026 |
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 97.1 | $0.690 | $67 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | buy | 346.09 | $0.069 | $23.88 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 159.42 | $0.125 | $19.93 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes | buy | 832.5 | $0.110 | $91.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.860 | $129 | Jul 15, 2026 |
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 169.81 | $0.530 | $90 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.146 | $72.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.072 | $9.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | buy | 305.98 | $0.316 | $96.69 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.237 | $35.55 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.236 | $82.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.730 | $109.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? | buy | 339.03 | $0.642 | $217.66 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 313.73 | $0.765 | $240 | Jul 2, 2026 |
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBosnia and Herzegovina | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal | buy | 59.1 | $0.423 | $25 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.420 | $25 | Jun 29, 2026 |