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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown | buy | 314.8 | $0.474 | $149.23 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 45.39 |
| $0.881 |
| $40 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 50.24 | $0.896 | $45 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Soviet" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 30.6 | $0.817 | $25 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | sell | 254.03 | $0.980 | $248.95 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 254.04 | $0.936 | $237.78 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | sell | 262.33 | $0.906 | $237.78 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | buy | 84.16 | $0.886 | $74.54 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.790 | $4.53 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "FCC" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crooked Hillary" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | sell | 75.58 | $0.920 | $69.53 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?No | buy | 95.51 | $0.920 | $87.87 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 95.09 | $0.924 | $87.86 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 95.1 | $0.924 | $87.83 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | sell | 21.01 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.011 | $0.16 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.022 | $0.57 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?No | buy | 26.71 | $0.840 | $22.44 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?No | buy | 40.23 | $0.870 | $35 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?No | buy | 40.23 | $0.870 | $35 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during Japan troop visit on October 28?No | buy | 45.06 | $0.888 | $40 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Japan troop visit on October 28?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Malaysia events on October 26?No | buy | 42.71 | $0.820 | $35.02 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Malaysia events on October 26?No | sell | 30.48 | $0.614 | $18.72 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Malaysia events on October 26?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Department of War" during Malaysia events on October 26?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?No | buy | 75.58 | $0.860 | $65 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | buy | 38.27 | $0.784 | $30 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tango" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.820 | $25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No | buy | 30.86 | $0.810 | $25 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Bernie say "Medicaid" during CNN town hall on October 15?Yes | buy | 40.23 | $0.870 | $35 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Bernie say "Health Care" 5+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during speech on October 14?No | buy | 85.11 | $0.940 | $80 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | buy | 59.77 | $0.836 | $50 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Skedaddle" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?No | buy | 55.74 | $0.915 | $51 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.900 | $0.97 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 56.04 | $0.910 | $51 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 46.07 | $0.890 | $41 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?Yes | buy | 80.13 | $0.936 | $75 | Oct 12, 2025 |