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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.67K | $0.171 | $216.94 | -$923.95 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.67K | $0.025 | $167.17 | 36m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 16.67 |
| $0.180 |
| $5.08 |
| +$2.08 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | Yes | 8.95 | $0.447 | $4.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 27.68 | $0.144 | $4.01 | +$0.01 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3.37 | +$0.37 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.829 | $3.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $2.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $2.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 5.77 | $0.520 | $2.28 | -$0.72 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.598 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.26 | $0.470 | $1.45 | -$0.55 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.09 | $0.095 | $1.16 | -$0.84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 60 | $0.050 | $1.05 | -$1.95 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.300 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| sell |
| 4.45K |
| $0.035 |
| $155.82 |
| 14h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.040 | $1.82 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.670 | $19.14 | 4d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.050 | $250 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.599 | $2 | 11d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.09 | $0.095 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | 12d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.829 | $3 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 13d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.052 | $10.43 | 13d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 923 | $0.050 | $46.15 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.016 | $17.48 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.023 | $25.2 | 15d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.029 | $29 | 18d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.093 | $185.86 | 20d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.070 | $49 | 20d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 564.38 | $0.220 | $124.16 | 20d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 8.95 | $0.447 | $4 | 24d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.120 | $45 | 26d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 26d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?No | buy | 101.85 | $0.098 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 249.02 | $0.040 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.100 | $150 | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | 29d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | 29d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 250 | $0.070 | $17.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.093 | $186.3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.048 | $143 | Aug 9, 2026 |