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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.26 |
| $0.470 |
| $0.96 |
| -$1.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $0.83 | -$1.17 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.45 | -$1.55 |
| buy |
| 4.26 |
| $0.470 |
| $2 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.630 | $1.92 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.458 | $1.61 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.215 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.755 | $1.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.730 | $1.85 | Jul 24, 2026 |