Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.69 | $0.150 | $4 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 17.94 |
| $0.330 |
| $5.92 |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 32.89 | $0.180 | $5.92 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.999 | $26.63 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.69 | $0.130 | $3.47 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.130 | $3.47 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?No | buy | 65.58 | $0.891 | $58.44 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | sell | 58.5 | $0.999 | $58.44 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 58.51 | $0.850 | $49.73 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?No | sell | 58.13 | $0.850 | $49.41 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.016 | $0.32 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 65.59 | $0.270 | $17.71 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | sell | 88.57 | $0.160 | $14.17 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.450 | $12 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue 10-14 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?No | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 88.57 | $0.406 | $36 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.060 | $5.46 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 126.49 | $0.785 | $99.29 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 32.84 | $0.609 | $20 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Trudeau resigns by Friday?No | sell | 69.92 | $0.997 | $69.71 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 93.65 | $0.600 | $56.19 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 53.91 | $0.659 | $35.54 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 13-20?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.097 | $2.7 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 13-20?Yes | sell | 74.5 | $0.008 | $0.6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 13-20?Yes | sell | 97.49 | $0.050 | $4.84 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?No | buy | 75 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 $PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.160 | $12 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Biden statement on Mystery Drones by Friday?Yes | sell | 26.93 | $0.991 | $26.69 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $4-6b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.090 | $3.6 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.750 | $26.25 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Panthers vs. OilersPanthers | sell | 10.63 | $0.999 | $10.62 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump sue Ann Selzer before inauguration?No | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Avalanche vs. CanucksAvalanche | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Panthers vs. OilersPanthers | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Capitals vs. StarsCapitals | buy | 12.02 | $0.410 | $4.93 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Capitals vs. StarsStars | sell | 8.33 | $0.590 | $4.91 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Capitals vs. StarsStars | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Biden statement on Mystery Drones by Friday?Yes | buy | 26.94 | $0.160 | $4.31 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Trudeau resigns by Friday?No | buy | 69.92 | $0.715 | $50 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?Mufasa | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Golden Knights vs. WildGolden Knights | buy | 75.47 | $0.530 | $40 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.152 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |