Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 29d ago |
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Realistic-Ironclad is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,560,662 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$89.59 observed lifetime PnL, 61 distinct markets, 38 resolved positions, a 65.8% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x16c10129e8565b5921a17714f5596357b72b11c0
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $2 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.493 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsWashington Nationals | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX | sell | 14.28 | $0.999 | $14.27 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageMOUZ | sell | 22.72 | $0.999 | $22.7 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 9.31 | $0.537 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown | buy | 9.71 | $0.515 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETDown | buy | 6.55 | $0.763 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 23.35 | $0.214 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.