Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 15.66 | $0.830 | $15.08 | +$2.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.06 |
| $0.940 |
| $1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.830 | $13 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of January?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.701 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.941 | $2.5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.997 | $2.98 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.950 | $11 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.992 | $10.5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.864 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.850 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Matty's UFC 313 Money Line ParlayNo | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.840 | $1.1 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |