Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.05 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 25 | $0.195 | $4.88 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No | sell | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 23.76 | $0.008 | $0.19 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.030 | $0.48 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.067 | $1.07 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.085 | $1.02 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?No | buy | 20 | $0.449 | $8.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.020 | $0.12 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No | buy | 200 | $0.017 | $3.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?No | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in January?Yes | sell | 48.39 | $0.120 | $5.81 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | sell | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in January?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.012 | $0.58 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.042 | $2.08 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.720 | $8.25 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.025 | $0.13 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.670 | $4.02 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.015 | $0.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.022 | $1.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.830 | $9.96 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Jan 8, 2026 |