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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 110 | $0.009 | $10.84 | +$9.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 66.67 |
| $0.090 |
| $4.33 |
| -$1.67 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1.74 | +$0.74 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.155 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.450 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No| buy |
| 1.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.090 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | buy | 13.77 | $0.436 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will The Weeknd have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.135 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.202 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.114 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.029 | $0.57 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.033 | $0.59 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.056 | $0.62 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.155 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.170 | $2.74 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)Melquizael Costa | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.037 | $1.06 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.942 | $2.98 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.04 | $0.013 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.100 | $3.13 | May 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.007 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.947 | $3 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |