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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.999 | $2.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.3 |
| $0.998 |
| $5.29 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.997 | $12.51 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 19.68 | $0.999 | $19.66 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.74 | $0.997 | $17.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 19.57 | $0.997 | $19.51 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 16.38 | $0.999 | $16.36 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 17.59 | $0.999 | $17.57 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 18.31 | $0.999 | $18.29 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 29.04 | $0.979 | $28.43 | Feb 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.982 | $20.23 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 32.46 | $0.999 | $32.43 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 18.82 | $0.988 | $18.59 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.999 | $26.29 | Jan 30, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.04 | $0.957 | $41.19 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 45.34 | $0.998 | $45.25 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 29.51 | $0.994 | $29.33 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.58 | $0.994 | $9.52 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 68.09 | $0.003 | $0.22 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 263.33 | $0.150 | $39.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.840 | $3.01 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 263.34 | $0.680 | $179.07 | Aug 2, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.972 | $4.25 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.962 | $9.64 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.1 | $0.210 | $14.3 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 170.01 | $0.810 | $137.71 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 135.23 | $0.997 | $134.82 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 135.24 | $0.997 | $134.83 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.983 | $3.38 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 130.5 | $0.980 | $127.89 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 122.23 | $0.998 | $121.99 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 122.23 | $0.998 | $121.99 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 132.79 | $0.997 | $132.39 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 132.79 | $0.998 | $132.52 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 145.09 | $0.997 | $144.65 | Jun 10, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.39 | $0.976 | $10.14 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 145.09 | $0.998 | $144.8 | Jun 6, 2025 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 155.11 | $0.997 | $154.64 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 155.11 | $0.998 | $154.8 | Jun 3, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 125.11 | $0.991 | $123.98 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $210 in May?No | buy | 7.39 | $0.999 | $7.38 | May 31, 2025 |
Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 125.12 | $0.993 | $124.24 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No | buy | 16.49 | $0.999 | $16.47 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 152.01 | $0.995 | $151.25 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 152.02 | $0.996 | $151.41 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 148.23 | $0.994 | $147.34 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.999 | $7.57 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 148.24 | $0.994 | $147.35 | May 22, 2025 |
Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 134.89 | $0.998 | $134.62 | May 22, 2025 |