Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kimmel say "Kirk" during return show on September 23?No | buy | 102.26 | $0.300 | $30.7 | Sep 23, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Fight" 3+ times on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?No | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Attorney General" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Yes | buy | 14.63 | $0.342 | $5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris say "Epstein" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Yes | buy | 36.43 | $0.275 | $10 | Sep 21, 2025 |
Nepal intervention by September 30?Yes | buy | 128.57 | $0.070 | $9 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will the Nepalese government fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Fact Check: Did US Refuel Israeli Aircraft in the Qatar Strike?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Polish strike on Russia by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Polish strike on Belarus by September 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.071 | $26.69 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Next Generation" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.660 | $1.06 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.56 | $0.191 | $2.21 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 22.94 | $0.290 | $6.65 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Hacks win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will The Penguin win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
French confidence vote fails?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in August?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in August?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Enterprise" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Networking" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
"Borderlands 4" Metascore 70–79Yes | sell | 20.71 | $0.552 | $11.42 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |