Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 151.11 | $0.375 | $118.62 | +$61.89 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 51.88 | $0.670 | $34.76 | 9m ago |
 |
| No |
| 118.25 |
| $0.790 |
| $108.2 |
| +$14.78 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 113.64 | $0.880 | $103.98 | +$3.98 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 237.53 | $0.421 | $99.52 | -$0.47 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 83.38 | $0.670 | $77.88 | +$22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 102.46 | $0.648 | $69.67 | +$3.28 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 78.91 | $0.840 | $67.08 | +$0.79 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 75.76 | $0.880 | $65.91 | -$0.76 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 68.62 | $0.823 | $60.73 | +$4.27 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 122.37 | $0.346 | $56.9 | +$14.53 |
 Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 67.32 | $0.850 | $54.86 | -$2.36 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 397.95 | $0.185 | $53.72 | -$19.92 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 117.17 | $0.502 | $53.31 | -$5.55 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 50.22 | $0.894 | $44.94 | +$0.04 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 45.87 | $0.826 | $41.51 | +$3.63 |
 Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 68.54 | $0.575 | $41.47 | +$2.03 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 58.39 | $0.693 | $41.46 | +$1 |
 Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? | No | 38.96 | $0.780 | $32.01 | +$1.62 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 75.5 | $0.413 | $29.82 | -$1.38 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 35.08 | $0.500 | $28.24 | +$10.7 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 35.09 | $0.760 | $27.37 | +$0.7 |
 Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? | No | 35.57 | $0.700 | $25.79 | +$0.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 156.03 | $0.195 | $24.18 | -$6.23 |
 Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | No | 22.97 | $0.950 | $21.25 | -$0.58 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 22.17 | $0.959 | $20.93 | -$0.32 |
| sell |
| 16.11 |
| $0.355 |
| $5.72 |
| 10m ago |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No | buy | 11.72 | $0.320 | $3.75 | 2h ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.800 | $0.09 | 5h ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.800 | $0.09 | 5h ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 3.27 | $0.760 | $2.49 | 5h ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.550 | $1.84 | 5h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 237.53 | $0.421 | $100 | 7h ago |
 Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.47 | $0.380 | $2.08 | 7h ago |
 Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 7h ago |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.250 | $0.21 | 7h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.850 | $0.98 | 7h ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.850 | $0.97 | 7h ago |
 Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.270 | $0.07 | 7h ago |
 Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.880 | $6.19 | 7h ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 59.98 | $0.500 | $29.99 | 7h ago |
 Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.180 | $0.45 | 7h ago |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?No | buy | 5.87 | $0.540 | $3.17 | 7h ago |
| Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.930 | $6.85 | 7h ago |
 Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Yes | sell | 1.74 | $0.660 | $1.15 | 7h ago |
 Will André Moura win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.200 | $0.19 | 7h ago |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes | sell | 5.67 | $0.340 | $1.93 | 7h ago |
 Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.08 | $0.920 | $8.35 | 8h ago |
 Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.350 | $0.04 | 8h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 61.98 | $0.780 | $48.34 | 8h ago |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 10.87 | $0.910 | $9.89 | 8h ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 5.48 | $0.981 | $5.38 | 8h ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | sell | 35.63 | $0.975 | $34.74 | 8h ago |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.630 | $0.04 | 20h ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 28.94 | $0.270 | $7.81 | 21h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 29.22 | $0.380 | $11.1 | 23h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.52 | $0.270 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.52 | $0.270 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 26.41 | $0.590 | $15.58 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.590 | $1.66 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.360 | $1.79 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.340 | $1.16 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 2 | $0.540 | $1.08 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.330 | $0.45 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.310 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 26.26 | $0.340 | $8.93 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.540 | $2.89 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.230 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.220 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.220 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.41 | $0.220 | $0.31 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.220 | $0.18 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.220 | $1.16 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.27 | $0.220 | $0.94 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.59 | $0.210 | $0.33 | 1d ago |