Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 28d ago |
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Weak-Valance is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,875,916 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$392.12 observed lifetime PnL, 155 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 80.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x15d0c09ec94b1fa433332d547788654c38943327
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.02 |
| Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.499 | $7.49 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | buy | 132.64 | $0.072 | $9.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 5.99 | $0.660 | $3.95 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Cape Verde win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.011 | $0.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 England leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.068 | $2.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 8.08 | $0.098 | $0.79 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.090 | $1.17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 3.7K | $0.001 | $3.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | sell | 169.43 | $0.002 | $0.34 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.010 | $15.13 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.004 | $7.95 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.003 | $45 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.005 | $6.06 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.062 | $2.47 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.048 | $0.72 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.780 | $26.52 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 59.91 | $0.998 | $59.79 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | buy | 153.97 | $0.031 | $4.85 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.91 | $0.090 | $1.79 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.870 | $10.44 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.001 | $1.3 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.