Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | 1d ago |
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| sell |
| 1.33 |
| $0.976 |
| $1.3 |
| 1d ago |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.974 | $1.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.907 | $1.28 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.938 | $1.33 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.997 | $1.37 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.987 | $1.39 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.986 | $1.4 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 15?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | May 13, 2026 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.993 | $1.41 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.966 | $1.36 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.300 | $1.36 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.600 | $2.72 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Token Launch Party ParlayNo | buy | 2.72 | $0.989 | $2.69 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.996 | $2.68 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.958 | $2.68 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.959 | $2.69 | Nov 21, 2025 |
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.979 | $2.68 | Nov 21, 2025 |
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.988 | $2.71 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?No | sell | 2.79 | $0.974 | $2.72 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.949 | $2.65 | Nov 11, 2025 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | sell | 2.67 | $0.993 | $2.65 | Nov 11, 2025 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.998 | $2.67 | Oct 31, 2025 |
US strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.977 | $3.78 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.880 | $3.32 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.966 | $6.36 | Jan 10, 2025 |
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.975 | $2.38 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.950 | $5.14 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.975 | $3.46 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.958 | $1.43 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.979 | $2.84 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.986 | $1.05 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.987 | $1.38 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.997 | $1.92 | Nov 15, 2024 |
State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.978 | $1.16 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.33K | $0.001 | $17.33 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 17.33K | $0.001 | $17.33 | Nov 12, 2024 |
PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.940 | $1.36 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.999 | $2.34 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No | buy | 1.98 | $0.984 | $1.95 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Girona FC win La Liga?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.997 | $2.2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.55K | $0.001 | $27.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |