Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.04 |
| $0.987 |
| $3 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.582 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.334 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.936 | $3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.814 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 19?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.79 | $0.751 | $4.35 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.79 | $0.863 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.960 | $10.56 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | sell | 698.19 | $0.001 | $0.7 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 698.2 | $0.003 | $2 | Dec 27, 2024 |