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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 18.47 | $0.412 | $7.25 | -$0.36 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 6 |
| $0.490 |
| $4.59 |
| +$1.65 |
 Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 81.08 | $0.037 | $3.77 | +$0.77 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 230.77 | $0.013 | $0.58 | -$2.42 |
| sell |
| 8.6 |
| $0.995 |
| $8.56 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.091 | $3.64 | 7d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.37 | $0.030 | $2.41 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.37 | $0.054 | $4.34 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.38 | $0.466 | $9.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 9d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | sell | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.515 | $40.7 | 9d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.931 | $5.17 | 9d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 14 | $0.680 | $9.52 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 10d ago |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.991 | $19.83 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.080 | $9.52 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 13d ago |
 Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 290.45 | $0.001 | $0.29 | 20d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.45 | $0.010 | $2.86 | 20d ago |
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 20d ago |
 ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Tim Handel vs Arthur NagelTim Handel | buy | 9.5K | $0.001 | $9.5 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | 22d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 14.5 | $0.840 | $12.18 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.327 | $3.02 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.119 | $2.38 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.780 | $14.04 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.530 | $9.54 | 26d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.200 | $2.9 | 28d ago |
 Counter-Strike: PURE vs Drama eSports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonPURE | buy | 570 | $0.005 | $2.85 | 28d ago |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | sell | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.977 | $12.6 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.460 | $2.29 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 18.47 | $0.412 | $7.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 179.16 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.440 | $2.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.140 | $4.62 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.290 | $9.57 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 10.37 | $0.570 | $5.91 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 121.8 | $0.003 | $0.39 | Aug 5, 2026 |