Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.136 | $4.4 | +$3.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 15.18 | $0.988 | $15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 77.32 |
| $0.013 |
| $1.43 |
| +$0.43 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 77.32 |
| $0.013 |
| $1 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.136 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes | buy | 6.39 | $0.939 | $6 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?No | buy | 11.08 | $0.993 | $11 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.989 | $16 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 8.89 | $0.979 | $8.7 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Gen.G | buy | 11 | $0.810 | $8.91 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 3?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.910 | $2.3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.989 | $9.1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.980 | $6.9 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before August?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Kash Patel out by July 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
2025 July hottest on record?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Bitcoin all time high before July?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | May 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | May 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | May 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?Down | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.966 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Ethereum Foundation be liquidated in March?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Suchir Balaji foul play determined before April?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |