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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3.11 | +$0.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.994 | $1.15 | 26d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.36 |
| +$0.36 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.04 | $0.958 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.03 | $0.972 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.05 | $0.198 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.045 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
| buy |
| 3.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.954 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.710 | $1.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.21 | $0.579 | $3.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.419 | $4.66 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.213 | $0.68 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.013 | $1.18 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.983 | $1.09 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.952 | $1.07 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.420 | $3.05 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 145.83 | $0.039 | $5.69 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.840 | $2.15 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.880 | $1.95 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.313 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.021 | $0.33 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.150 | $0.83 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.75 | $0.086 | $0.67 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.069 | $0.63 | May 31, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.043 | $0.52 | May 31, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.170 | $0.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.114 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |