Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.180 | $12.5 | -$167.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.200 | $879.12 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 3.15K |
| $0.039 |
| $11.01 |
| -$111.98 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.080 | $4.2 | -$91.8 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 135.04 | $0.100 | $0.61 | -$12.9 |
| buy |
| 1.91K |
| $0.510 |
| $975 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.180 | $126 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 126.71 | $0.100 | $12.67 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.041 | $47 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.120 | $134.22 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.048 | $85 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.23 | $0.034 | $2.42 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.79K | $0.051 | $400 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.18K | $0.009 | $65 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 504.11 | $0.017 | $8.57 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 3.04K | $0.981 | $2.99K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.982 | $491 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.914 | $1.08K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.345 | $810 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 470.45 | $0.380 | $178.77 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.376 | $1.88 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.334 | $500.72 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-20?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.260 | $260 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 208.86 | $0.070 | $14.62 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.010 | $14.58 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.910 | $1.73K | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.936 | $1.78K | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.77K | $0.037 | $1.78K | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.070 | $300 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.820 | $0.98 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.49K | $0.060 | $629.46 | Oct 14, 2025 |