Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 41.67 |
| $0.120 |
| $5 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.020 | $1.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.952 | $63.46 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.83 | $0.240 | $11 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.413 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.071 | $2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.993 | $18.05 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.440 | $8 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Trump RNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?Under | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 66.71 | $0.890 | $59.37 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.630 | $19.53 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 503.03 | $0.039 | $19.62 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.4 | $0.050 | $0.67 | May 19, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.031 | $6.2 | May 15, 2024 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | May 15, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 15, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | May 15, 2024 |