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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 862.14 | $0.100 | $31.04 | -$55.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 45.12 | $0.253 | $11.42 | 10d ago |
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| No |
| 15.48 |
| $0.258 |
| $12.77 |
| +$8.77 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.01 | $0.899 | $9.74 | +$0.74 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 19.7 | $0.406 | $7.98 | -$0.02 |
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | No | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7.32 | +$0.32 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.66K | $0.003 | $6.66 | -$1.35 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 6.74 | $0.742 | $6.1 | +$1.1 |
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | Yes | 171.43 | $0.070 | $5.91 | -$6.09 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 6.83 | $0.505 | $5.84 | +$2.39 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 51.8 | $0.125 | $5.08 | -$1.38 |
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.006 | $4.68 | -$6.62 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 4.54 | $0.793 | $4.37 | +$0.77 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.09 | $0.443 | $3.9 | +$1.2 |
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 4.15 | $0.760 | $3.67 | +$0.52 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.042 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | No | 2.73 | $0.945 | $2.59 | +$0.01 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.48 | $0.310 | $2.49 | +$1.1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.76 | $0.410 | $2.39 | -$1.61 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 4.47K | $0.003 | $2.23 | -$11.67 |
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $2.06 | +$1.06 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.35 | $0.630 | $2.02 | -$0.72 |
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | $0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.94 | $0.839 | $1.86 | +$0.24 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.42 | $0.620 | $1.58 | +$0.08 |
| sell |
| 0.9 |
| $0.253 |
| $0.23 |
| 10d ago |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.52 | $0.253 | $0.13 | 10d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.240 | $1.58 | 17d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.280 | $0.31 | 19d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.250 | $0.24 | 19d ago |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.200 | $0.43 | 22d ago |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 336.67 | $0.003 | $1.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 280.49 | $0.002 | $0.56 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 34.49 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 33.75 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.620 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.510 | $1.65 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.650 | $1.31 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 33.52 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.650 | $0.24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 146.55 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 35.12 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.680 | $0.23 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.931 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.580 | $1.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 31.44 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 32.85 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 29.39 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 30.51 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 31.68 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 32.9 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.004 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 326.59 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.600 | $1.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50.78 | $0.210 | $10.66 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 34.01 | $0.002 | $0.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 68.17 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 143.97 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 42.19 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 155.71 | $0.002 | $0.31 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |