Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 727.61 | $0.363 | $156.44 | -$107.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 226.03 | $0.340 | $76.85 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 402.29 |
| $0.584 |
| $60.34 |
| -$174.66 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.032 | $18.28 | +$8.28 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 378.57 | $0.264 | $7.76 | -$92.24 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 517.24 | $0.029 | $6.47 | -$8.53 |
| sell |
| 784.09 |
| $0.100 |
| $78.41 |
| 12d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | 13d ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 168.18 | $0.339 | $57.01 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.78 | $0.337 | $35 | 23d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.510 | $35.7 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.500 | $35 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 351.3 | $0.575 | $202 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 354.52 | $0.370 | $131.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 875.57 | $0.999 | $874.69 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 306.37 | $0.816 | $250 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 132.1 | $0.757 | $100 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300.12 | $0.833 | $250 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 229.36 | $0.436 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.999 | $92.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.885 | $909.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 517.24 | $0.029 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 168.19 | $0.149 | $25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 740.74 | $0.279 | $206.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 165.09 | $0.450 | $74.29 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.730 | $750 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.240 | $150 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 159.09 | $0.220 | $35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.37 | $0.790 | $42.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.38 | $0.552 | $30 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.032 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.270 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | sell | 246.91 | $0.999 | $246.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.162 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.162 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 6.27K | $0.390 | $2.45K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.1 | $0.520 | $34.37 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 420.19 | $0.071 | $30 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 460.65 | $0.133 | $61.27 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 539.96 | $0.450 | $242.98 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.350 | $76.09 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 961.54 | $0.160 | $153.85 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 133.38 | $0.530 | $70.69 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 98.18 | $0.720 | $70.69 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 107.25 | $0.550 | $58.99 | Nov 24, 2025 |