Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.7 | $0.942 | $14.79 | May 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.79 |
| $0.991 |
| $14.66 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.969 | $14.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 14.2 | $0.955 | $13.56 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?No | buy | 13.56 | $0.979 | $13.28 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.985 | $13.08 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?No | buy | 13.08 | $0.999 | $13.07 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.988 | $12.91 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 12.91 | $0.978 | $12.63 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 12.62 | $0.965 | $12.18 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.989 | $12.05 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.989 | $11.92 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?No | buy | 11.92 | $0.989 | $11.79 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?No | buy | 11.78 | $0.988 | $11.64 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by June meeting?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.969 | $11.28 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 11.28 | $0.984 | $11.1 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 16?No | buy | 11.1 | $0.992 | $11.01 | May 12, 2025 |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.994 | $10.95 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Ukrainians before May?No | buy | 10.95 | $0.987 | $10.81 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Gen Z Quant rug another coin by Friday?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.996 | $10.76 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Megaquake in March?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.990 | $10.66 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in February?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.974 | $10.38 | Mar 8, 2025 |