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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.73 | $0.937 | $2.56 | Jun 12, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.73 |
| $0.893 |
| $2.44 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 2.9 | $0.840 | $2.44 | Mar 23, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.850 | $2.47 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.060 | $0.13 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.03 | $0.680 | $2.74 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.710 | $0.96 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.820 | $1.01 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.800 | $1.05 | Aug 27, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.680 | $2.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.640 | $1.82 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.860 | $0.88 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ETDown | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.367 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |