Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 14.47 | $0.898 | $11.96 | -$1.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | 19d ago |
 |
| No |
| 11.51 |
| $0.956 |
| $11.07 |
| +$0.07 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.640 | $8.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.420 | $4.23 | -$0.77 |
| Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $1.91 | -$0.09 |
| sell |
| 55.55 |
| $0.030 |
| $1.67 |
| 19d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21?Down | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.956 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 18?Up | sell | 1.33 | $0.990 | $1.32 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.897 | $3 | 22d ago |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 18?Up | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 22d ago |
 Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 10?Up | buy | 10.71 | $0.840 | $9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?Up | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 9?Down | sell | 11.23 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 9?Down | buy | 14.78 | $0.677 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?Down | sell | 13.79 | $0.940 | $12.96 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 9?Down | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 9?Yes | sell | 15.02 | $0.991 | $14.88 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?Down | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 9?Yes | buy | 15.03 | $0.665 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 6?Down | sell | 24.67 | $0.960 | $23.68 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 6?Down | buy | 24.68 | $0.823 | $20.31 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?Down | sell | 20.83 | $0.975 | $20.31 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?Down | buy | 20.83 | $0.950 | $19.79 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?Down | sell | 19.95 | $0.992 | $19.79 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?Down | buy | 19.96 | $0.900 | $17.96 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 23.64 | $0.760 | $17.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 23.65 | $0.740 | $17.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?Up | sell | 19.68 | $0.940 | $18.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?Up | buy | 19.68 | $0.567 | $11.17 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 3?Yes | sell | 11.18 | $0.999 | $11.17 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 3?Yes | buy | 11.19 | $0.970 | $10.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?Down | sell | 10.86 | $0.999 | $10.85 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?Down | buy | 10.86 | $0.997 | $10.83 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up | buy | 10.83 | $0.998 | $10.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |