Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $6.34 | +$1.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.41 |
| $0.780 |
| $5.54 |
| +$0.54 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5.54 | $0.902 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
| buy |
| 905.07 |
| $0.552 |
| $500 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 7.23 | $0.229 | $1.66 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.002 | $0.03 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.691 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12?Yes | buy | 89.89 | $0.048 | $4.31 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?Yes | buy | 29.25 | $0.150 | $4.39 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 6-12?Yes | buy | 16.01 | $0.280 | $4.48 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.902 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.290 | $22.31 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?Yes | sell | 43.51 | $0.170 | $7.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 43.52 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.971 | $57.09 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 11.07 | $0.452 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.173 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.086 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.838 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Nov 23, 2025 |